Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 15.015818 16.938462 19.029678 21.475801 24.261972 27.340543 31.005380
2025-03-02 11.842383 14.365629 17.329863 21.079912 25.713013 31.269174 38.466945
2025-03-09 9.771476 12.611000 16.174283 20.998696 27.398036 35.647498 47.172272
2025-03-16 8.242325 11.224238 15.187361 20.882680 28.927986 39.991189 56.536936
2025-03-23 7.346612 10.497376 14.906797 21.595302 31.602699 46.207025 69.476907
2025-03-30 6.459455 9.628222 14.269439 21.655754 33.290417 51.203822 81.437238
2025-04-06 5.615588 8.688968 13.375915 21.161468 34.004476 54.758980 91.672484
2025-04-13 4.961930 7.943133 12.660196 20.810154 34.839877 58.554795 102.853661
2025-04-20 4.597311 7.603400 12.531440 21.376023 37.245770 65.276225 120.225729
2025-04-27 4.303183 7.337742 12.480865 22.049047 39.905890 72.797020 140.335233
2025-05-04 3.988586 6.995020 12.249234 22.354706 41.917335 79.391856 159.774070
2025-05-11 3.604680 6.482878 11.653534 21.901300 42.408415 83.120522 174.008392
2025-05-18 3.267732 6.027485 11.124942 21.539131 43.093555 87.473383 190.698545
2025-05-25 2.981284 5.634989 10.669920 21.264150 43.923563 92.274038 209.372099
2025-06-01 2.757699 5.338086 10.364196 21.250676 45.302184 98.470901 232.528908
2025-06-08 2.551884 5.052936 10.048023 21.171434 46.523739 104.514165 256.556024
2025-06-15 2.447257 4.960446 10.111419 21.916896 49.711495 115.601526 295.609858
2025-06-22 2.290886 4.742750 9.887310 21.990839 51.344461 123.248663 327.282352
2025-06-29 2.102777 4.437271 9.440651 21.495209 51.530487 127.343822 350.106130
2025-07-06 1.945540 4.182189 9.075689 21.141729 52.009898 132.251497 376.273421
2025-07-13 1.871117 4.103101 9.096058 21.719450 54.951783 144.151112 425.817426
2025-07-20 1.808823 4.044777 9.157039 22.405342 58.286148 157.710863 483.699044
2025-07-27 1.726308 3.930959 9.075103 22.717017 60.658514 168.989418 537.030968